Sunday, November 8, 2009

Ventura County Loan To Value Chart - July 2009

Note: I haven't posted these charts in awhile so I am putting up May through August in four consecutive posts.

If you click and enlarge the chart it basically shows how much people are putting down at different price points. A dot at 80.0 and $300,000 means that a borrower put 20% down on a $300,000 place. This gives us a feel for how (down payments and loan types) people are getting into the market and where (sale price) they are getting into the market.

For people in the market right now if you go to the left hand side and look and find around the price at which you are thinking of buying and then you can go to the right and see what your competition has done as far as down payments and loan types.

The FHA loans at the higher price ranges are, in my opinion, very risky. FHA used to be for low income people and were underwritten with lower DTI ratios. Now they are used somewhat by high income people at higher income ratios, their prospect of higher income is low and lower income is high. I think this will affect the higher end move up markets as the people who rushed to buy have little to no equity for many years. I think this is true of FHA used in massive quantities in the market like we have now (which was 37.2% of the So Cal market in July according to Dataquick). With little down it will take that much longer to buildup significant equity and long term move up and relocation transactions in the market should stay low.

1 comment:

Picosec said...

All dem red diamonds sho gonna be in a deep hurt if home values drop a mere 10%. Hope those homeowners have a lot of patience (at least 5 years to break even).

And either "real" or "nominal", it's not going to matter much.