Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Short Sale & Foreclosures for the San Fernando Valley - November 2009

Here is the sales breakdown for the San Fernando Valley for November 2009. The SFV has a lot more late reporters as a percentage of sales and so it is a bit tougher to discern right now just how weak sales will ultimately be for November. One thing is clear, sales will be down YoY. If I estimate 15% increase (which is about right historically) due to late reporters that means there will be a 7% drop in YoY sales. This is the context of mortgage rates down over 1% YoY, prices lower and the ongoing tax credit. Limited supply means limited sales and the market is running out of supply in the price points in which people can afford to buy homes. Sales will continue to stagnate as a result.

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